{"id":5815,"date":"2020-01-28T14:37:19","date_gmt":"2020-01-28T14:37:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ictddev.staging.wpengine.com\/?post_type=publication&#038;p=5815"},"modified":"2020-07-27T09:53:41","modified_gmt":"2020-07-27T08:53:41","slug":"fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/","title":{"rendered":"Fuel Subsidy Reform and the Social Contract in Nigeria: a Micro-economic Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fuel subsidies in Nigeria are enormous. At last estimate, the state subsidises petrol to the tune of US$3.9 billion \u2013 almost double the entire health budget. Such subsidies come at great cost: the opportunity costs of such spending on other development objectives are large; the distribution of resources to the state governments is reduced; the vast majority of the subsidy goes to better-off Nigerians; and cheaper petrol encourages greater pollution, congestion and climate change. Despite this, most Nigerians oppose the reduction or removal of subsidies. We draw on a new nationally representative household survey that asked Nigerian men and women about their knowledge and attitudes towards subsidies. We construct and test a set of hypotheses about the determinants of support for subsidy reform. We also use a survey experiment to explore how different framings of the issue influence support for reform. We find that different framings of reform are not able to alter Nigerians\u2019 opinion from opposing to supporting reform, indicating deep-rooted beliefs about the role of petrol subsidies in Nigeria\u2019s social contract. We find that people that already pay more than the official price and that have experienced a lack of fuel availability are more likely to support reform. Trust in government is also associated with support for reform, as is delivery of reasonable national and local services, supporting the idea that building the \u2018social contract\u2019 is key to reform. Social and personal norms also appear correlated with support for reform. Intriguingly, actual knowledge about subsidies is not \u2013 people appear to form their opinions on the issue regardless of their understanding of it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fuel subsidies in Nigeria are enormous. At last estimate, the state subsidises petrol to the tune of US$3.9 billion \u2013 almost double the entire health budget. Such subsidies come at great cost: the opportunity costs of such spending on other development objectives are large; the distribution of resources to the state governments is reduced; the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":5816,"template":"","meta":[],"tags":[2087,2085,107,348,2083,28,359],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v15.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The International Centre for Tax and Development (ICTD)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fuel Subsidy Reform and the Social Contract in Nigeria: a Micro-economic Analysis\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Read ICTD Working Paper 104 by Neil McCulloch, Tom Moerenhout, and Joonseok Yang\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The International Centre for Tax and Development (ICTD)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ICTDTax\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-07-27T08:53:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/WP104-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"837\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Fuel Subsidy Reform and the Social Contract in Nigeria: a Micro-economic Analysis\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Read ICTD Working Paper 104 by Neil McCulloch, Tom Moerenhout, and Joonseok Yang\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/WP104-1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ICTDTax\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ICTDTax\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/#organization\",\"name\":\"International Centre for Tax and Development\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/ICTDTax\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/ictdtax\/\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/user\/ICTDTaxation\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ICTDTax\"],\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/#logo\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/logo.png\",\"width\":616,\"height\":91,\"caption\":\"International Centre for Tax and Development\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/#logo\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/\",\"name\":\"The International Centre for Tax and Development (ICTD)\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/?s={search_term_string}\",\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/#primaryimage\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/WP104.jpg\",\"width\":522,\"height\":744},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/new.coderkubes.com\/ictd\/publication\/fuel-subsidy-social-contract-microeconomic-analysis-nigeria\/\",\"name\":\"Fuel Subsidy Reform and the Social Contract in Nigeria: a Micro-economic Analysis - 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